We continue to face unprecedented droughts, wildfires, and flooding, while leaders and media pundits spout contradictions that reinforce confusion. It is hard to know where to turn, or to predict how the future will look, in terms of environmental disasters or how society will deal with them.
On one side, doomsday reports declare we have a few years until the apocalypse, in overly simplistic language fixed on temperature and sea-level measurements. There are steadier sources. The world's militaries hold a host of reports analyzing future outcomes, mostly risk assessments of the geopolitical weaknesses that climate change will expose. They must plan for this, and they disregard the grandstanding others prioritize.
Both the military and insurance sectors agree: a slow increase in extreme weather, compounding on itself, will be the norm.